Diebold Nixdorf (DBD)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
$59.14+1.84%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put DBD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electronic Equipment & Instruments is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 36% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskDBD’s case rests on expanding adjusted EBITDA and improving operating margins, not rapid revenue growth. Revenue growth slowed from 6% to 1%, then reached 5%; Q3 earnings beat consensus. It trades at 10× P/E versus a 30× peer median and its 13× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, though the peer gap makes that valuation comparison demanding. The specific risk is margin compression, alongside a 25% modeled next-quarter miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 49% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. DBD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering DBD (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare DBD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electronic Equipment & Instruments — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put DBD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand adjusted EBITDA and improve operating margin
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
2026 EBITDA outlook supports margin expansion; the buyback also advances capital-return plans.
Threatens: Expand adjusted EBITDA and improve operating margin
Revenue growth is positive, but margin compression threatens the operating-margin objective.
Threatens: Improve profitability and net income
Missing the quarterly profit view challenges profitability progress; the share decline reflects investor concern.
Advances: Expand adjusted EBITDA and improve operating margin
Reaffirming EBITDA and cash flow targets supports growth and capital objectives.
Advances: Improve profitability and net income
AI implementation aligns with profitability improvement.
New CIO could enhance operational strategies.