Reading ASTC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ASTC free→Reading ASTC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Compared with sector peers, ASTC is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 90% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $16.08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $17, ASTC's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 21× p/s (5.8× the 4× p/s peer median). That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $9.26 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 83% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.94x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, the broad stock market, the US dollar.
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$362.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,152.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,771.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ASTC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. On June 16, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing that the board of directors of the Company has approved management to engage in a sale process for the potential sale of 1 st Detect Corporation (“1 st Detect”). A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibits 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K includes…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2013-Q3, 2014-Q1, 2014-Q2, 2014-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ASTC ASTROTECH CORP | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 1 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on forming strategic partnerships to drive revenue growth.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $21,000 in 2025-Q4 to $343,000 in 2026-Q3, indicating progress in leveraging strategic partnerships for growth. The trajectory shows delivering results in line with management's focus.
“CEO: 'We are actively pursuing strategic partnerships to enhance our revenue streams.'”
“CEO: 'Strategic partnerships remain a key focus for revenue growth.'”
“CEO: 'Our strategy includes forming partnerships to boost revenue.'”
Enhance gross profit margins through operational efficiencies and cost management.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Gross profit increased from $42,000 in 2025-Q4 to $67,000 in 2026-Q3, reflecting progress in improving margins through cost management. The trajectory indicates delivering on this priority.
“CFO: 'We are committed to improving our gross profit margins through better cost management.'”
Focus on reducing operating losses through cost control and efficiency improvements.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income showed limited improvement from -$3,430,000 in 2025-Q4 to -$3,453,000 in 2026-Q3, indicating persistent challenges in reducing losses despite management's focus. The trajectory shows limited progress.
“CFO: 'We are focused on reducing our operating losses through stringent cost control.'”
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 2, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”), entered into an at-the-market offering agreement (the “Offering Agreement”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC, as agent (“Wainwright”), pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time through Wainwright shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (the “Common Stock”), having an aggregate offering price of up to $24,492,819 (the “Shares”). The offer and sal…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 furnished hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purpos…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 13, 2026, Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 furnished hereto, shall not be deemed "fi…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Transaction Bonus Plan On November 5, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Astrotech Corporation (the “Company”) and the Compensation Committee of the Board (the “Committee”) approved and adopted a transaction bonus plan (the “Transaction Bonus Plan”). Pursuant to the Transaction Bonus Plan, the Company will establish a bonus pool (the “Bo…
“CFO: 'Improving gross margins is a priority through operational efficiencies.'”
“CFO: 'Focus on enhancing gross profit margins remains strong.'”
“CFO: 'Reducing operating losses remains a key focus.'”
“CFO: 'Our strategy includes minimizing operating losses.'”