Reading ARAI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ARAI free→Reading ARAI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.49. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.62x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.14 → $-0.09 (+35.7% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$426.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,271.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,624.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A decision on delisting affects ARAI's stock and how investors feel.
Confirms:Nasdaq says ARAI follows listing rules and will not be delisted.
Disproves:Nasdaq removes ARAI from the exchange.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ARAI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On June 2, 2026, Arrive AI Inc. (the “Company”) received a deficiency letter (the “Notice”) from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that, based upon the closing bid price of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.0002 per share (the “Common Stock”), for the last 30 consecutive business days, the Company is not currently in co…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Equipment & Instruments.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ARAI Arrive AI Inc | — | — | high |
KEYS Keysight Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
ROP Roper Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
TDY Teledyne Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | full | moderate |
TRMB Trimble Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Resolve compliance issues with Nasdaq listing rules to maintain market presence.
Focus on improving financial stability as the company faces ongoing net losses.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth could signal broader challenges for ARAI.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth drops below its median level.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median level.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 11, 2026, the Company entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement (the “ Sales Agreement ”) with Maxim Group LLC (“ Maxim ”), to sell shares of its common stock, par value $0.0002 per share (the “ Shares ”), having an aggregate offering price of up to $14,967,247, from time to time, through an “at the market offering” program under which Maxim, acting as sales agent, will offer and sell the Shares. The sales, if any, of the Shares made und…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 14, 2026, Arrive AI Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into a Standstill Agreement (the “ Standstill Agreement ”) with Streeterville Capital, LLC, a Utah limited liability company (the “ Investor ”). The Standstill Agreement was entered into in connection with that certain Securities Purchase Agreement, dated March 21, 2025, by and between the Company and the Investor (the “ Purchase Agreement ” and, together with all other documents entered into…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On March 31, 2026, Arrive AI Inc. (the “ Company ”) received a letter from The Nasdaq Listing Qualifications Department (the “ Staff ”) indicating that the Company’s common stock had failed to maintain a minimum market value of publicly held shares (“ MVPHS ”) of $15,000,000 over the previous 30 consecutive business days as required by The Nasdaq Global Market set forth in Listing Rule 5450(b)…
Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review. During preparation of the Arrive AI Inc.’s (the “Company”) Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company identified a potential accounting error in the reported values related to the Convertible Notes (the “Note”) under the Securities Purchase Agreement with Streeterville Capital, LLC (“Streeterville”). Specifically, the conversion feature of the Note co…