Reading ZDGE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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AMEXCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with ZDGE trading above typical for its sector. Peer multiples imply a price about 51% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.31. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.31 ZDGE trades at 21× p/e — 1.7× the 12× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $2.27 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 46% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 6%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=902).
Over the trailing year it converted -3.17x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Communication Services names rated stable grew net income 66% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=208).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.03 → $0.05 (+66.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$231.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$652.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,200.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Company momentum fell by 20.0 points (from 91.8 to 71.8).
Valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'full'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is critical to reversing the recent net income decline.
Confirms:Q2 earnings report shows revenue growth above $8.25 million.
Disproves:Q2 earnings report shows revenue growth below $8.25 million or a decline.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ZDGE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of Form 8-K promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This information shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the SEC or incorporated by reference into any other filing with the SEC unless otherwise expressly stated in such filing. In addition, this Report and the press release contain statements intended as “forward-looking statements” that are subject to the cautionary statements about forward-looking statements set forth in the press release.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Interactive Media & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ZDGE Zedge Inc | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | full | high |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
RDDT REDDIT, INC. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 54 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
ZDGE aims to drive growth through innovation, as stated for fiscal 2026.
ZDGE has committed to raising its quarterly dividend by 25% to $0.02 per share.
ZDGE aims to sustain strong user engagement to support its core business momentum.
Why it matters: More user engagement can raise revenue. This is key for recovery.
Confirms:User engagement metrics show a big increase from previous quarters.
Disproves:User engagement metrics drop or stay the same. This shows ongoing challenges.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 12, 2026, Zedge, Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its fiscal quarter ended January 31, 2026. A copy of the press release issued by the Registrant concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Registrant is furnishing the information contained in this Report, including Exhibit 99.1, pursuant to
Regulation FD Disclosure On March 25, 2026, Zedge, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.02 per share. The dividend is payable on or about April 15, 2026 to stockholders of record as of April 6, 2026. The Company is furnishing the information contained in this Current Report, pursuant to
Regulation FD Disclosure On January 14, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.016 per share. The dividend is payable on or about February 10, 2026 to stockholders of record as of January 30, 2026. The Company is furnishing the information contained in this Current Report, pursuant to
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On December 12, 2025, Zedge, Inc. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its fiscal quarter ended October 31, 2025. A copy of the press release issued by the Registrant concerning the foregoing results is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Registrant is furnishing the information contained in this Report, including Exhibit 99.1, pursuant to