Reading WSBC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is mixed, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may pose challenges. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact performance. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $36.08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $36 WSBC trades at 10× p/e, below its 12× p/e peer median. Our $44 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 19% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 51%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated strong grew net income 67% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=3733).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.32x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=4725).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.91 → $0.85 (-6.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 8 cut, 8 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 63% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$93.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$244.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,288.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This growth is key for WesBanco's overall revenue strategy. It shows how well the company is diversifying its income sources.
Confirms:Q2 non-interest income grows between 3% and 5% compared to Q1.
Disproves:Q2 non-interest income growth is below 3%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for WSBC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced, on January 22, 2026, Michael L. Perkins informed the Board of Directors of Wesbanco, Inc. (the “Company”) that Mr. Perkins will retire from his position as the Company’s Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer, effective June 30, 2026. On June 3, 2026, the Company and Mr. Perkins entered into an Executive Tra…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Regional Banks.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WSBC WesBanco, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 31 of 100 | fair | moderate |
HDB HDFC BANK LTD | — | — | moderate |
IBN ICICI BANK LTD | — | — | moderate |
ITUB ITAU UNIBANCO HOLDING SA | — | — | moderate |
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
11 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Financials names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on growing non-interest income by 3-5% each quarter year-over-year.
Aim to keep the full-year tax rate within the range of 20-21%.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth could signal broader economic issues. It may affect WesBanco's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its historical median.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above the median.
Why it matters: Maintaining this tax rate is important for overall profit margins. A significant change could impact earnings.
Confirms:The effective tax rate for the year remains between 20% and 21%.
Disproves:The effective tax rate rises above 21%.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change how a company works. This can make investors unsure.
Confirms one read:The new leadership team announces a strategic plan that aligns with growth goals.
Confirms the other:A change in leadership can cause confusion. It may lead to unclear goals.
Other Events. Wesbanco, Inc. (“Wesbanco”) issued a press release today announcing that its Board of Directors approved a new stock repurchase program and authorized the repurchase of up to an additional 4.0 million shares of Wesbanco common stock. The press release announcing the new stock repurchase program is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and is incorporated by reference herein.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Wesbanco, Inc. issued a press release and earnings call presentation today announcing earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and the earnings call presentation is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this report. Wesbanco, Inc. will host a conference call to discuss the Company's financial results for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Interested parties can ac…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Wesbanco, Inc. (the “Company”) held its Annual Meeting of its Shareholders on April 15, 2026 (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, the Company’s shareholders approved the Wesbanco, Inc. 2026 Equity Incentive Plan (the “Plan”). A summary of the Plan was included in the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the Securities and Excha…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Wesbanco, Inc. issued a press release announcing that the Company's financial results for the first quarter of 2026 will be released after the market close on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Management will also host a conference call to discuss the Company's financial results for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.