Reading VUZI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VUZI free→Reading VUZI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VUZI free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Compared with sector peers, VUZI is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 61% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.33. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.40, VUZI's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 41× p/s (11.1× the 4× p/s peer median). At a normal multiple the price implies ~44% near-term growth vs our ~10% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $2.37 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 44% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.68x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.10 → $-0.11 (-10.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$357.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$826.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,025.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report will show if Vuzix can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows a smaller loss than expected. This means better performance.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows a larger loss than expected. This means ongoing struggles.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VUZI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Consumer Electronics.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VUZI Vuzix Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | expensive | high |
GRMN Garmin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
SONO Sonos, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | fair | moderate |
TBCH Turtle Beach Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 15 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
GPRO GoPro Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | — | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Focus on expanding business through OEM custom smart glasses, defense initiatives, and waveguide activities.
Target robust year-over-year and sequential growth in product revenue and engineering services.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it could hurt Vuzix's sales. This will show how the sector is performing.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its median, indicating a slowdown.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is above the median. This shows continued expansion.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 29, 2026, Vuzix Corporation (the “Company”) granted 477,178 restricted stock units (“RSUs”), both time-based vesting and performance-based vesting, to Paul Travers, the Company’s chief executive officer, and 193,258 RSUs to Grant Russell, the Company’s chief financial officer. The RSUs were granted under the Company’s existing 2023 Equity…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 22, 2026, the employment of Chris Parkinson, PhD., as president of the Enterprise Solutions business unit of Vuzix Corporation (the “Company”) ended upon mutual agreement. In connection with this event, 75,000 previously unvested shares of restricted common stock vested, and Dr. Parkinson forfeited 1,000,000 unvested performance stock unit…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.