VALE SA (VALE)
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-14
$14.47-0.96%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put VALE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
No standing thesis yet — not enough to read.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 19% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskVALE's growth depends on maintaining strong ties with China and navigating sector challenges. Revenue performance has been steady, but recent results showed a miss of 12%. It trades at 28× P/E, above the 18× peer median, indicating that the price reflects less growth than expected. A specific risk is the 42% probability of another earnings miss next quarter, which could pressure estimates further. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades. Our standing thesis is forming; there is not enough to read yet.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. VALE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering VALE (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for VALE in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare VALE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Diversified Metals & Mining — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put VALE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Strengthens financial position and market access in China.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $14.47
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $14.47.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Downgrade indicates concerns about growth potential.
