SIBANYE STILLWATER LTD (SBSW)
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-09
NYSEMaterialsOther Precious MetalsSnapshot 2026-09-09
Research Workspace
Put SBSW beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — earnings per share at or above $46.9 in FY26 and $61.16 in FY27: FY26 EPS $38.5 vs $46.9; FY27 EPS $36.9 vs $61.2.
View ThesisThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 61% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSibanye Stillwater's growth depends on its ability to achieve earnings per share above $46.9 in FY26. The latest earnings report showed FY26 EPS at $38.5, falling short of expectations. The company trades at a high valuation with no current peer comparison available. The market cycle is classified as "Mania," indicating elevated risk. The primary risk is that earnings per share are below the required threshold, which has broken the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-09. SBSW is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering SBSW (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare SBSW with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Diversified Metals & Mining — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SBSW next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Analysts support organic growth, enhancing valuation outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-09. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.

Analyst upgrade suggests positive outlook for the company.
Strike could disrupt operations and impact profitability.
