T-Mobile US (TMUS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$182.90+0.31%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put TMUS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 21%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
TMUS's growth trajectory relies on driving industry-leading financial growth and cash flow. Revenue grew 9% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations by 19%. It trades at 18× P/E versus a peer median of 17×, indicating the market prices in more growth than forecasted. The risk lies in the potential for a credibility hit if TMUS cuts guidance after recently raising it. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis). Our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. TMUS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering TMUS (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TMUS in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TMUS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Communication Services (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TMUS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Elliott's opposition could hinder merger progress.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $182.90
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $182.90.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Stake in Deutsche Telekom may complicate T-Mobile's strategy.
Extending satellite service enhances product offering and customer relationships.
Downgrade may hinder postpaid account growth efforts.
Threatens: Drive industry-leading financial growth and cash flow
Revenue growth forecast risk impacts financial growth objective.
Advances: Drive industry-leading financial growth and cash flow
New plan rollout suggests significant undervaluation.
Advances: Increase shareholder returns via expanded buyback program
Expanded buyback program supports shareholder returns objective.
Advances: Drive industry-leading financial growth and cash flow
Increased cash flow outlook supports financial growth goals.
