Reading RMBI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RMBI free→Reading RMBI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RMBI free→NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is steady, but management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, RMBI is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. This assessment hinges on guidance changes, as a cut in guidance could negatively impact estimates. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $14.65. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $15 RMBI trades at 12× p/e, below its 12× p/e peer median. Our $18 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 11% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 12%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Not enough signal yet.
Over the trailing year it converted 1.34x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=4725).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, the US dollar.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$84.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$275.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,369.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RMBI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events On May 22, 2026, Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. (the “Company”) issued the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference announcing the declaration of a cash dividend on the Company’s common stock of $0.15 per share, payable on June 17, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 3, 2026.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RMBI RICHMOND MUTUAL BANCORPORATION INC | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Continue to declare a cash dividend of $0.15 per share on common stock.
Maintain stable revenue levels amidst market conditions.
Other Events On May 5, 2026, The Farmers Bancorp, Frankfort, Indiana (“Farmers”) made available the communication attached as Exhibit 99.1 regarding the pending merger transaction with Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. (“RMBI”). A copy of the communication is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This report may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026, the Registrant announced first quarter 2026 earnings. A copy of the earning release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Other Events On February 11, 2026, Richmond Mutual Bancorporation, Inc. (the “Company”) issued the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference announcing the declaration of a cash dividend on the Company’s common stock of $0.15 per share, payable on March 11, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 25, 2026.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On January 22, 2026, the Registrant announced fourth quarter 2025 earnings. A copy of the earning release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.