Reading PODC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PODC free→Reading PODC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PODC free→NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is steady, but the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, though risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, PODC trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 65% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.79. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.79 PODC trades at 2× p/s — 1.4× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $2.67 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 42% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=902).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.10x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 63% for the rest of the cohort, n=271).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.01 → $-0.01 (-234.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$309.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$848.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,470.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'expensive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The sector is in a declining phase. Positive revenue growth could signal a recovery for PodcastOne.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth shows a positive change from negative to positive growth.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is still negative. It keeps going down.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PODC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Effective as of May 1, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), PodcastOne, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Craig Christensen as the Company’s Interim Chief Financial Officer, Interim Treasurer and Interim Secretary, to succeed Ryan Carhart, the former Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary of the Company, who notified the Company on April 28, 2026 th…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Interactive Media & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PODC PodcastOne Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 18 of 100 | expensive | high |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
RDDT REDDIT, INC. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
PodcastOne aims to achieve record revenue of $61M+ for fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue increased from $12.26M in 2025-Q4 to $15.86M in 2026-Q3. The trajectory shows progress towards the $61M+ target for FY 2026, indicating delivering on growth expectations.
“PodcastOne anticipates record FY 2026 results of $61M+ revenue.”
“Raised Full Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Revenue of $58–$60 million.”
“Raises Full Fiscal 2026 Guidance to $58M - $60M of Revenue.”
PodcastOne aims to increase Adjusted EBITDA to $6.3M+ for fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased from $5–$6M to $6.3M+ for FY 2026, reflecting a significant improvement in profitability expectations. The trajectory indicates delivering on EBITDA growth.
PodcastOne aims to improve operating income by reducing losses.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income improved from -$975K in 2026-Q2 to -$153K in 2026-Q3, indicating progress in reducing losses. The trajectory shows improvement in operational efficiency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, PodcastOne, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain preliminary financial results for its fiscal year and quarter ended March 31, 2026 and other updates. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The Company is in the process of finalizing its results for its fiscal year and quarter ended March 31, 2026. Such press release contains certain estimated preliminary unaudited financial re…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 6, 2026, Jon Merriman, an independent member of the board of directors (the “Board”) of the Company received a grant of 250,000 restricted stock units of the Company (the “RSUs”) in connection with his appointment as the lead director of the Board (the “Lead Director”), to serve in such position until his successor is appointed and qualified…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities The disclosure required by this Item is included in
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e) On April 8, 2026, PodcastOne, Inc. (the “Company”) amended its 2022 Equity Incentive Plan (the “Plan”) to increase the number of shares of common stock available for issuance under the Plan by 2,000,000 shares (the “EIP Increase”), which EIP Increase was previously approved by the Company’s board of directors. The EIP Increase is subject to app…
“PodcastOne anticipates $6.3M+ Adjusted EBITDA, up 1,476% YOY.”
“Raised Full Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Adjusted EBITDA of $5–$6 million.”
“$5M - $6M of Adjusted EBITDA.”
“Operating income improved from -$975K in 2026-Q2 to -$153K in 2026-Q3.”
“Operating income was -$975K.”