Reading NSIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NSIT free→Reading NSIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NSIT free→NASDAQIndustrialsElectronics & Computer DistributionSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is elevated and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, NSIT trades above typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 52% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $110.81. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $111 NSIT trades at 10× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $228 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 51% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.44x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.92 → $2.92 (-0.1% / 30d). 2 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 0 maintained. 60% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$171.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$405.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,607.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Gross profit growth is key to Insight's strategy. A drop signals trouble in execution.
Confirms:Q2 gross profit growth below 10% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 gross profit growth at or above 10% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for NSIT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 28, 2026, Insight Enterprises, Inc. (“Insight”) entered into a seventh amendment to credit agreement (the “Seventh Amendment”) with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as Administrative Agent (the “Agent”), the lenders party thereto, certain of Insight’s subsidiaries organized in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Australia, as additional borrowers (collectively with Insight, the “Borrowers”), and certain of Insight’s subsidiar…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Technology Distributors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
SNX TD Synnex | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
CDW CDW Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ARW Arrow Electronics | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
AVT Avnet | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | fair | moderate |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing gross profit through strategic initiatives.
Continue efforts to improve operating income through efficiency and growth.
Aim to boost net income through strategic initiatives and cost management.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if gross profit and net income are improving. This matters for growth.
Confirms:Q2 earnings show gross profit growth above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 earnings report shows gross profit growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: A drop in North America sales could show bigger problems in the main market.
Confirms:North America net sales decline worsens beyond -1% year over year.
Disproves:North America net sales stabilize or grow year over year.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could help Insight's performance. It shows a healthier market.
Confirms one read:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 10%.
Confirms the other:Sector revenue growth is slowing down. It is now below 5%.
Why it matters: Integrating Inspire11 well is key for better AI skills and more value for clients.
Confirms:Management says they made good progress on Inspire11 integration in 6 months.
Disproves:No news on Inspire11 integration or reports of problems in 6 months.
Why it matters: Operating income shows if the company controls costs well. This affects how much money it makes.
Confirms one read:Operating income increases by more than 10% year over year.
Confirms the other:Operating income decreases or stays flat year over year.
Why it matters: If guidance is below $11.00, it shows weaker profit expectations. This can hurt investor confidence.
Confirms:Adjusted diluted EPS guidance for 2026 is below $11.00.
Disproves:Adjusted diluted EPS guidance at or above $11.00 for 2026.
Why it matters: Changes to the credit agreement may change financial options and growth plans. This can affect how investors feel.
Confirms one read:A press release confirms favorable terms or new funding from the credit agreement.
Confirms the other:News shows stricter terms or less borrowing ability in the credit agreement.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Insight Enterprises, Inc. announced by press release its results of operations for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release and accompanying investor presentation are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and incorporated by reference herein. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 o…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Jack Azagury On March 23, 2026, Insight Enterprises, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that, effective April 13, 2026, Jack Azagury, age 53, will be appointed as President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company and as a member of the Company’s Board of Directors. Mr. Azagury was most recently a Senior Advisor at TowerBrook Capital P…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 5, 2026, Insight Enterprises, Inc. announced by press release its results of operations for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release and accompanying investor presentation are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and incorporated by reference herein. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for p…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 1, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing its acquisition of Inspire11 LLC, an award-winning technology delivery firm with deep advisory, data, and AI expertise. A copy of this press release is filed with this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information disclosed under this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or d…