MEDLINE INC (MDLN)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-10-15
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Instruments & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-10-15
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Put MDLN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care Supplies is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Maintain Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $3.5 to $3.6 billion: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskMedline’s case rests on delivering 2026 organic sales growth of 9.0% to 10.0%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year in Q2 FY2026, which beat expectations. The latest quarter also beat non-GAAP EPS consensus by 66.7%. MDLN trades at 24× P/E versus a 24× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving little relative valuation discount. A 17.0% next-quarter miss probability and the broken outlook pillar threaten the case. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. MDLN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering MDLN (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MDLN in the last 4 months.
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Compare MDLN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care Supplies — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put MDLN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve Organic Sales growth of 9.0% to 10.0% in 2026
New distribution capacity supports growth execution, but the report alone does not materially change guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $35.96
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $35.96.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Achieve Organic Sales growth of 9.0% to 10.0% in 2026
Improves efficiency, supporting organic sales growth objective.

Warehouse fire indicates potential supply chain issues.
FDA warning indicates quality control issues.
New product launch could enhance sales growth.