Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-10-29
$15.75-3.14%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-10-29
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Put GRPN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth to at least $518 million in 2026: Revenue: $124.67M.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 55% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGRPN’s sales growth must support its sales-based valuation, but the desk has no earnings history. The latest result is unavailable, so the desk provides no evidence of a beat or miss. GRPN trades at 1.3× sales versus a 1.0× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The primary pillar is under pressure: 2026 revenue target is at least $518 million; reported revenue is $124.67 million. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 46%. Peer multiples imply a price about 20% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. GRPN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering GRPN (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Interactive Media & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GRPN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Execute Project Foundry AI-native transformation
AI-native transformation aligns with growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Attracting younger generations supports customer growth objective.
Advances: Grow active customers and improve organic channel growth
Viral interest may grow active customers and organic growth.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
COO appointment and restructuring support cost reduction goals.
Advances: Achieve Adjusted EBITDA of $75M to $80M in 2026
Earnings beat indicates progress towards EBITDA target.
Advances: Implement restructuring plan to reduce costs by $20M-$25M annually
Cost cuts and COO hire support restructuring objectives.
Threatens: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings beat but revenue decrease threatens growth objectives.
Advances: Revenue Guidance for Q2 2026
Earnings and revenue beat supports growth objectives.