Reading EBF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EBF free→Reading EBF? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EBF free→NYSEIndustrialsBusiness Equipment & SuppliesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and management's recent track record has been steady. Earnings quality is neutral, and risk is moderate, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 44% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. If EBF cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $20.51. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $20 EBF trades at 13× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $36 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 44% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.80x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.40. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$71.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$195.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,137.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects overall economic health. Strong GDP can lead to better business for Ennis, Inc.
Confirms:GDP growth is above 2% in the third estimate.
Disproves:GDP growth is below 1% in the third estimate.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for EBF yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of Form 8-K). 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Ennis, Inc. Date: April 20, 2026 By: /s/ Vera Burnett Vera Burnett Chief Financial Officer
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Office Services & Supplies.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EBF Ennis, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
MSA MSA Safety | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | moderate |
WSC WillScot Holdings Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | full | elevated |
HNI HNI Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PBI Pitney Bowes, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how well Ennis, Inc. is doing in a tough market. It can affect investor confidence.
Confirms one read:Earnings per share (EPS) beats expectations by more than 5%.
Confirms the other:EPS falls short of expectations by more than 5%.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show demand trends. Strong sales can boost Ennis, Inc.'s growth outlook.
Confirms:Retail sales increase by more than 1% month over month.
Disproves:Retail sales decline by more than 1% month over month.
of Form 8-K). 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Ennis, Inc. Date: December 22, 2025 By: /s/ Vera Burnett Vera Burnett Chief Financial Officer
Other Information On December 18, 2025, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of 25.0 cents per share on the Company’s common stock. The ordinary dividend is payable on February 5, 2026 to shareholders of record on January 8, 2026.
of Form 8-K). 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Ennis, Inc. Date: September 22, 2025 By: /s/ Vera Burnett Vera Burnett Chief Financial Officer
Other Information On September 19, 2025, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of 25.0 cents per share on the Company’s common stock. The ordinary dividend is payable on November 7, 2025 to shareholders of record on October 10, 2025.