Reading CHTR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CHTR free→Reading CHTR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CHTR free→NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecom ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is mixed, and risk is elevated, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 72% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact CHTR's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $141.78. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $144 CHTR trades at 4× p/e, below its 19× p/e peer median. Our $504 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $210–$220. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 71% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=701).
Over the trailing year it converted 3.27x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=690).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $10.23 → $10.33 (+0.9% / 30d). 3 raised, 9 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 24% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 45.7% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$161.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$445.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,915.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A larger loss would signal ongoing issues in retaining Internet customers. This could hurt revenue.
Confirms:Q2 Internet customer losses are more than 120,000 compared to Q1.
Disproves:Q2 Internet customer losses less than or equal to 120,000.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CHTR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On May 15, 2026, Charter Communications, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an employment agreement (the “Employment Agreement”) with Jamal Haughton, the Company’s Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary. The Employment Agreement, which is effective as of May 15, 2026, has a term ending May 15, 2028 (or upon an earlier termin…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$210.00 – $220.00 (median $215.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-26
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Communication Services (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CHTR Charter Communications | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 97 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
24 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Communication Services names rated volatile grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=200).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Charter aims to grow its Spectrum Mobile lines as part of its converged network strategy.
Charter expects full year 2026 capital expenditures to total approximately $11.4 billion.
Charter focuses on enhancing customer satisfaction through better products, pricing, and service.
Charter expects full year 2025 capital expenditures to total approximately $11.5 billion.
Why it matters: Strong mobile growth helps Charter grow its mobile services and make more money.
Confirms:Q2 mobile line growth exceeds 400,000.
Disproves:Q2 mobile line growth falls below 400,000.
Why it matters: Keeping CAPEX guidance shows a focus on growth and better networks.
Confirms:Management says CAPEX guidance stays the same for 2026.
Disproves:Management cuts CAPEX guidance for 2026.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 24, 2026, Charter Communications, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The following information, including the entirety of the press release appearing in Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is not filed but is furnished pursuant to item 2.02, "Results of Operations and Financial Condition."
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On April 21, 2026, Charter Communications, Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, as further described in
DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On February 25, 2026, Charter Communications, Inc. (the “Company”) announced the appointment of Nick Jeffery as Chief Operating Officer of the Company, effective September 1, 2026. Mr. Jeffery, age 58, served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Frontier Communications from 2021 until its acquisition by Verizon in January 2026. Mr. Jeffery h…
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On January 30, 2026, Charter Communications, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The following information, including the entirety of the press release appearing in Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is not filed but is furnished pursuant to item 2.02, "Results of Operations and Financial Condition."