Reading BODI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BODI free→Reading BODI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BODI free→NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly, indicating less shareholder-friendly moves. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact future performance. Peer multiples imply a price about 14% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $8.79. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.23 BODI trades at 14× p/e, in line with its 12× p/e peer median. Our $10 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 10% below a flat-multiple fair value, ahead of our forecast of about -34%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=902).
Over the trailing year it converted 3.55x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Communication Services names rated robust grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=525).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Communication Services names rated stable grew net income 66% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=208).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.13 → $-0.15 (-23.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 4 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$325.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$803.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,523.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The FOMC meeting could impact consumer spending and sentiment in the sector. This may affect Beachbody's sales.
Confirms one read:Post-FOMC meeting, consumer spending data shows an increase.
Confirms the other:Post-FOMC meeting, consumer spending data shows a decline.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BODI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, the Company announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing its financial results and certain other information is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Interactive Media & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BODI Beachbody Co Inc/The | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | fair | elevated |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
RDDT REDDIT, INC. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to maintain positive adjusted EBITDA and achieve positive free cash flow.
Focus on stabilizing and growing revenue through strategic initiatives.
Management aims to achieve and maintain positive free cash flow.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth could show that the sector is getting better. This may boost investor confidence.
Confirms:Revenue growth for Beachbody turns positive year over year in the next quarter.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains negative year over year for another quarter.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 10, 2026, the Company announced its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing its financial results and certain other information is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Credit Agreement Amendment On January 7, 2026 (the “ Amendment Effective Date ”), The Beachbody Company, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into an Amendment No. 1 to Credit Agreement (the “ Amended Credit Agreement ”) among the Company, as the Administrative Borrower (as defined therein), the other Borrowers (as defined therein) party thereto, the lenders party thereto, and Tiger Finance, LLC, as administrative agent and collateral agent. The Amended C…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On January 8, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the entry into the Amended Credit Agreement as described above in
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 10, 2025, the Company announced its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing its financial results and certain other information is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.