Reading MYPS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MYPS free→Reading MYPS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MYPS free→
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact MYPS's performance compared to sector peers, where it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 74% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. If MYPS reverses course and raises guidance next quarter, that could signal a positive shift. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.53. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.59 MYPS trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $1.96 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 70% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated weak grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=701).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.73x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Communication Services names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 63% for the rest of the cohort, n=271).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.03. 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$234.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$739.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,153.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a turnaround in the declining sector. It may boost investor confidence.
Confirms:Playstudios reports positive revenue growth in its next earnings report.
Disproves:Playstudios keeps showing lower revenue.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for MYPS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in any such filing, except as shall be expressly set…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Interactive Home Entertainment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MYPS Playstudios, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 45 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
NTES NETEASE INC | — | — | moderate |
EA Electronic Arts | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 27 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
TTWO Take-Two Interactive | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
RBLX ROBLOX CORPORATION | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Implement a reorganization plan to enhance efficiency and reduce operating expenses by reducing the workforce by 27%.
Focus on improving net income, which has been negative for several quarters.
Focus on stabilizing revenue, which has shown fluctuations over recent quarters.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing As previously reported in a Current Report on Form 8‑K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) on November 10, 2025, on November 5, 2025, PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), received a notice from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) stating that the Company was not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing R…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in any such filing, except as shall be expressly set…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Forfeiture of 2025 Performance-Based Equity Awards On March 12, 2026, Compensation Committee (the “Compensation Committee”) of the Board of Directors of PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc. (the “Company”) determined that, with respect to certain performance stock units performance stock units (“PSUs”) under the Company’s 2021 Equity Incentive Plan (the “Plan”) previ…
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On March 10, 2026, the Company initiated an internal reorganization plan (the “Plan”) which is intended to enhance efficiency and reduce operating expenses. The Plan includes a reduction of the Company’s current total global workforce by approximately 27 percent. The Company expects to substantially complete the personnel reduction by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, but the timing of certain reductions will vary based on jo…