Reading IDT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track IDT free→Reading IDT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track IDT free→NYSECommunication ServicesTelecom ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, while earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been steady, and risk is moderate, but the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, IDT is above typical for the sector. Peer multiples imply a price about 22% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $52.77. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $53 IDT trades at 15× p/e, in line with its 12× p/e peer median. Our $43 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 22% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Communication Services names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=701).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.95x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Communication Services names rated fragile grew net income 43% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=525).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.97 → $0.98 (+1.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$119.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$285.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,318.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Growing dividends show financial health and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Confirms:IDT announces a dividend increase or keeps the current dividend the same.
Disproves:IDT cuts the dividend or suspends growth plans.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for IDT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of Director On June 9 2026, Irwin Katsof notified IDT Corporation (the “Company”) of his resignation from the board of directors of the Company (the “Board”) and the respective committees of the Board on which he served. This resignation was not the result of any disagreement with the Company regarding the Company’s operations, policies…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Integrated Telecommunication Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
IDT IDT Corp. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | full | moderate |
VZ Verizon | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | fair | moderate |
T AT&T | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 73 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV | — | — | moderate |
GSAT Globalstar, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Communication Services names rated stable grew net income 66% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=208).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
IDT has increased its FY 2026 guidance for consolidated Adjusted EBITDA to $150-$152 million.
IDT continues to increase its dividend per share, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
IDT aims to enhance its cash flow from operating activities, indicating a focus on operational efficiency.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth in the sector may mean a recovery for IDT.
Confirms one read:Sector revenue growth turns positive year over year.
Confirms the other:Sector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Higher guidance means IDT may perform better and grow more.
Confirms:Management raises its Adjusted EBITDA guidance. It is now higher than before.
Disproves:Management keeps its Adjusted EBITDA guidance the same. It may also lower it.
Why it matters: Better cash flow from operations shows the business is more efficient and stable.
Confirms:Cash from operating activities shows an increase from last quarter.
Disproves:Cash from operating activities goes down or stays the same.
of Form 8-K promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This information shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the SEC or incorporated by reference into any other filing with the SEC unless otherwise expressly stated in such filing. In addition, this Report and the press release contain statements intended as “forward-looking statements” that are subject to the cautionary statements about forward-looking statements set forth in the press release.
Regulation FD Disclosure. On May 28, 2026, IDT Corporation (the “Registrant”) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.07 per share. The dividend is payable on June 18, 2026 to stockholders of record as of June 9, 2026. The Registrant is furnishing the information contained in this Current Report, pursuant to
of Form 8-K promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This information shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the SEC or incorporated by reference into any other filing with the SEC unless otherwise expressly stated in such filing. In addition, this Report and the press release contain statements intended as “forward-looking statements” that are subject to the cautionary statements about forward-looking statements set forth in the press release.
of Form 8-K promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This information shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the SEC or incorporated by reference into any other filing with the SEC unless otherwise expressly stated in such filing. In addition, this Report and the press release contain statements intended as “forward-looking statements” that are subject to the cautionary statements about forward-looking statements set forth in the press release.