NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-07-09
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $7.55 WEN trades at 9.4× p/e, below its 20× p/e peer median. Our $9.52 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $6.00–$12. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $7.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $12.52 | 20.6 | 0.61 | ntm analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $6.93 | 8.6 | 0.81 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $16.72 | 19.9 | 0.84 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
$6.00 – $12.00 (median $7.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-13
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
| 3Y |
| $9.09 |
| 20.6 |
| 0.44 |
| Analyst |
| medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $4.29 | 8.6 | 0.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $6.60 | 20.6 | 0.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $3.12 | 8.6 | 0.36 | Analyst | medium |
