Reading VLO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLO free→Reading VLO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VLO free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · VLO
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $244.37. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $57.05 | 8.2 | 9.21 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $298.41 | 17.3 | 17.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $241.61 | 17.3 | 13.98 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $608.40 | 1.5 | 394.16 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $191.31 |
| 13.7 |
| 13.98 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $242.44 | 17.3 | 13.98 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $269.32 | 17.3 | 15.58 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $119.18 | 17.3 | 6.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $552.57 | 17.3 | 31.97 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $637.68 | 1.5 | 413.13 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 3Y | $437.53 | 13.7 | 31.97 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $554.47 | 17.3 | 31.97 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $64.63 | 17.3 | 3.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $959.18 | 17.3 | 55.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $657.97 | 1.5 | 426.28 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $759.50 | 13.7 | 55.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $962.48 | 17.3 | 55.50 | Analyst | medium |