Reading ULTA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ULTA free→Reading ULTA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ULTA free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ULTA
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $463.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $533.02 | 18.7 | 28.58 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $524.81 | 13.6 | 38.99 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $462.98 | 20.1 | 23.03 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $497.40 | 18.7 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $667.62 |
| 2.3 |
| 295.88 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $1219.92 | 45.7 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $511.71 | 19.2 | 26.67 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $537.79 | 18.7 | 28.84 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $738.81 | 18.7 | 39.61 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $480.63 | 20.1 | 23.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $689.44 | 18.7 | 36.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $712.92 | 2.3 | 315.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1690.92 | 45.7 | 36.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $709.27 | 19.2 | 36.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $918.46 | 18.7 | 49.25 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $492.76 | 20.1 | 24.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $857.08 | 18.7 | 45.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $744.82 | 2.3 | 330.09 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $2102.08 | 45.7 | 45.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $881.73 | 19.2 | 45.96 | Analyst | medium |