Reading TDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDG free→Reading TDG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TDG free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · TDG
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1301.20. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $1304.49 | 37.7 | 34.60 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $1113.73 | 35.0 | 31.84 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $1311.28 | 37.7 | 34.78 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $496.33 | 3.2 | 154.65 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $2375.29 |
| 68.3 |
| 34.78 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1407.38 | 40.5 | 34.78 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $1358.74 | 37.7 | 36.04 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $2624.91 | 37.7 | 69.62 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $2144.01 | 35.0 | 61.30 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $2638.56 | 37.7 | 69.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $848.69 | 3.2 | 264.44 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $4779.59 | 68.3 | 69.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $2831.94 | 40.5 | 69.98 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $4183.72 | 37.7 | 110.97 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $3317.87 | 35.0 | 94.86 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $4205.49 | 37.7 | 111.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1213.57 | 3.2 | 378.13 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $7617.97 | 68.3 | 111.55 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $4513.70 | 40.5 | 111.55 | Analyst | medium |