Seritage Growth Properties (SRG)

NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-23

$1.62-0.61%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Seritage Growth Properties’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-30
Revenue	—	36.4M
EPS	—	0
Annual ending 2026-12-31
Revenue	—	241.2M
EPS	—	0.078
Annual ending 2027-12-31
Revenue	—	194.6M
EPS	—	0

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Successful execution of M&A and asset sales	The company is actively managing its portfolio with recent M&A activity.	Intact	no material M&A or asset sales completed by end 2026	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Maintain preferred dividend at $0.44 per share	It maintains a stable preferred dividend of $0.4375 per share.	Intact	preferred dividend falls below $0.44 per share next quarter	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Limit revenue decline to less than -25% YoY	A primary condition in Seritage Growth Properties's published investment case. The stated target is revenue decline > -25% YoY.	Intact	revenue decline worse than -25% YoY in FY26	Revenue growth: -59.72% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: revenue decline > -25% YoY. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 14, 2026-59.724909 percent · calculatedSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 50c496ca-cb7f-4a5f-b6e5-bfadae9b3a4a. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue: comparable history unavailable.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-07-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Monthly analyst history is unavailable.

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Successful execution of M&A and asset salesDirect metric needs a verified mapping
Maintain preferred dividend at $0.44 per shareDirect metric needs a verified mapping
Limit revenue decline to less than -25% YoYRevenue growth: -59.72%

Next proof point

Nov 13, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.5%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-63.2%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Seritage Growth Properties outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is an asset-monetization situation, not a steady earnings compounder, and the long-term thesis remains on watch. Management has made progress under its Plan of Sale, though execution and recent performance remain mixed.

What's priced into Seritage Growth Properties

The valuation model indicates SRG is expensive versus peers, with a sizable expectations gap, but confidence in that estimate is low. The evidence points to valuation as the main source of fragility, rather than a combination of expensive valuation, weak fundamentals, and turbulence.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, results face a weak sector backdrop and elevated risk, with a watch-level estimate-miss risk. Over the multi-year view, asset sales could continue to reshape the business: SRG reported gross proceeds and entered an option agreement, while preferred dividends have been declared consistently in 2026. Recent performance remains weak, and the COO transition adds a management change to monitor.

What Seritage Growth Properties hinges on

The thesis depends on management continuing to monetize remaining assets and maintaining the stated capital priorities. Near-term conditions could improve if interest rates ease or sector peers continue to report strong results, while a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative. Evidence on these forward scenarios is limited.