Reading SAM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SAM free→Reading SAM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SAM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $180.13. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $165.93 | 17.0 | 9.75 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $62.94 | 12.0 | 4.02 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $291.70 | 16.0 | 18.23 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $156.91 | 17.0 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $148.42 |
| 0.9 |
| 160.10 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $274.22 | 29.7 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $248.78 | 27.0 | 9.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $158.34 | 17.0 | 9.30 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $237.62 | 17.0 | 13.96 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $400.44 | 16.0 | 25.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $224.71 | 17.0 | 13.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $205.65 | 0.9 | 221.83 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $392.69 | 29.7 | 13.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $356.27 | 27.0 | 13.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $301.90 | 17.0 | 17.74 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $494.62 | 16.0 | 30.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $285.49 | 17.0 | 16.77 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $255.60 | 0.9 | 275.71 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $498.91 | 29.7 | 16.77 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $452.63 | 27.0 | 16.77 | Analyst | high |