Reading PHM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PHM free→Reading PHM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PHM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · PHM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $124.77. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $162.26 | 20.1 | 8.07 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $192.84 | 18.7 | 10.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $186.50 | 2.3 | 82.65 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $210.10 | 20.3 | 10.34 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $92.17 |
| 8.9 |
| 10.34 |
| TTM |
| high |
| triangulated | 12M | $198.38 | 18.7 | 10.64 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $214.54 | 20.1 | 10.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $223.92 | 18.7 | 12.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $193.48 | 2.3 | 85.75 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $243.96 | 20.3 | 12.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $107.03 | 8.9 | 12.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $258.44 | 20.1 | 12.86 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $247.38 | 18.7 | 13.26 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $198.27 | 2.3 | 87.87 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $269.51 | 20.3 | 13.26 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $118.24 | 8.9 | 13.26 | Analyst | medium |