Navan, Inc. (NAVN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-15
$25.38+0.71%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-15
Research Workspace
Put NAVN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 37%, softest on returns on capital.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 58% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNavan’s investment case rests on sustaining rapid revenue growth through its AI platform and expanding market presence. Revenue growth eased from 40% to 35% year over year, though the latest quarter beat. NAVN trades at 8× sales versus 3× for peers and 9× its own history. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving a substantial peer premium to earn. Execution risks threaten the 30% growth objective, and our model puts next-quarter miss probability near 19%. Peer multiples imply a price about 3% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. NAVN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering NAVN (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NAVN in the last 4 months.
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Compare NAVN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NAVN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand market presence via strategic acquisitions
Strategic acquisition enhances market presence and growth potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $25.38
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $25.38.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Achieve 30%+ year-over-year revenue growth
Execution risks could hinder achieving revenue growth target.
Advances: Achieve 30%+ year-over-year revenue growth
Revenue growth exceeds target, driven by AI platform.
Advances: Achieve 30% YoY revenue growth
Gaining market share supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Achieve 30% YoY revenue growth
Record growth aligns with revenue growth targets.
Advances: Achieve 30% YoY revenue growth
Revenue guidance supports growth objectives.
Advances: Achieve 30% YoY revenue growth
New client win enhances growth potential.