MasTec (MTZ)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
$240.68-2.23%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Increase EPS guidance to $6.77 for 2026: EPS guidance $6.77 vs $6.77 target.
MasTec aims for 22% revenue growth in 2026, backed by a $1.65B acquisition. EPS guidance was raised to $6.77 for 2026, showing profit growth. The company benefits from AI data center investments supporting demand. Revenue grew 34% year-over-year in Q1 2026, showing strong momentum.
The stock is down 18% from its high and faces a soft guidance posture. Profit margins and EPS growth may slow given recent market stress. The valuation is expensive with a PE of 53.2, risking multiple contraction if growth falters.
The market prices in about 19% revenue growth and values the stock roughly 24% above our fair value near $290. Our fair value is 40% below the Street median, reflecting caution on growth sustainability.
Breaks if: Acquisition fails to add revenue or causes margin pressure in FY26
Breaks if: AI-related demand declines significantly in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
MTZ represents a durable compounder with a focus on strong revenue and earnings growth. The current thesis is intact, supported by recent financial performance, but faces sector headwinds.
The market appears to have priced in a premium compared to peers, indicating expectations for continued strong performance. However, there is a notable expectations gap, suggesting that some growth may already be reflected in the valuation.
Management has demonstrated robust earnings quality and is on track with its priorities, including revenue and EPS growth. However, there is elevated risk due to past performance volatility and recent misses.
The future trajectory hinges on sector performance, particularly the results of key competitors. A reversal in guidance from MTZ could damage credibility, while continued strength from sector bellwethers could provide support.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The company had a recent earnings beat. This supports strong revenue growth for 2026. However, there is a threat from missed EPS guidance. This could hinder future expectations.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: EPS guidance falls below $6.0 for FY26
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below ~19% in FY26
Overall, MTZ's fundamentals remain strong, but sector dynamics and management execution will be crucial in the coming years. Not investment advice.