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Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(19.0) + peer(0.2*3.8) + term(0.0) → 7.43% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On May 7, 2026, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section,…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On March 5, 2026, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of…
Results of Operations and Financial Disclosure The Company previously announced that it ended 2025 with cash, investments and restricted cash of $125.2 million (unaudited), sufficient to support planned operations into 2027, and that it achieved a $10 million milestone in January pursuant to its licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk, with the potential for up to an additional $20 million in milestone payments throughout 2026 (although there is no certainty such milestones will be reached on t…
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On November 6, 2025, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that…
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On August 6, 2025, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section…
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On May 13, 2025, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section,…
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On March 6, 2025, we issu ed a press release to report our financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2024. A copy of the press release is attached to this current report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that sect…