Reading LLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LLY free→Reading LLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LLY free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · LLY
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1123.47. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $462.96 | 12.8 | 36.25 | Mgmt | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $188.62 | 9.0 | 25.71 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $238.12 | 15.7 | 15.16 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $375.48 | 12.8 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $163.98 |
| 2.4 |
| 68.28 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| PEG | 12M | $784.25 | 26.7 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $1165.08 | 39.6 | 29.40 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $390.35 | 12.8 | 30.56 | Triangulated | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $1037.74 | 12.8 | 81.26 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $854.23 | 15.7 | 54.38 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $841.64 | 12.8 | 65.90 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $412.04 | 2.4 | 171.57 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1757.93 | 26.7 | 65.90 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $2611.56 | 39.6 | 65.90 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1777.40 | 12.8 | 139.17 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $2001.82 | 15.7 | 127.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1441.53 | 12.8 | 112.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $761.56 | 2.4 | 317.10 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $3010.91 | 26.7 | 112.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $4472.98 | 39.6 | 112.87 | Analyst | medium |