Reading LESL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-5.3) + peer(0.2*12.3) + term(0.0) → 0.62% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 49 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 2, 2025 Leslie’s, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 4, 2025 and furnished the press release on a Current Report on Form 8-K (the “Original Form 8-K”). This Current Report on Form 8-K/A amends the Original Form 8-K solely for the purpose of correcting an immaterial error with respect to the Company’s calculation of basic and diluted loss per…
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 28, 2025, Leslie’s, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release that included the announcement of certain estimated preliminary financial results for the Company’s fiscal third quarter ended June 28, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The estimated preliminary financial results are subject to the completion of the Company’s financial closing procedures and any adjustments that may result from th…
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…
of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information and the accompanying exhibit shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, except as shall be expressly s…