Jackson Financial, Inc. (JXN)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-09-09
$138.05+1.07%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-09-09
Warn: Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
Jackson aims for $1.2 billion free cash flow in 2026. It plans to return $900 million to $1.1 billion to shareholders. PPM America’s assets grew 26% last year. These show progress in cash and growth.
The company missed earnings last quarter by 14%. It faces rising debt and leadership changes. These risks could hurt cash flow and growth.
The price is about 60% below our fair value near $271. Analysts expect 17% revenue growth. We see value but risks remain.
Breaks if: Capital return falls below $900 million in 2026
Return $900 million to $1.1 billion in capital to common shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2026.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a speculative growth opportunity in the financial sector. The current thesis state is mixed, with management showing volatility in execution while navigating a favorable sector backdrop.
The market currently prices JXN at a premium compared to its peers, indicating that investors may have high expectations for future performance. The valuation has recently fallen, suggesting some adjustment in market sentiment.
Management has set ambitious targets for free cash flow and capital returns, but execution has been mixed. The growth in assets under management is on track, which may support overall performance despite the company's loss-making status.
The long-term thesis hinges on management's ability to meet its financial targets and the performance of sector bellwethers like MET, AFL, and PRU. Any guidance changes from JXN or its peers could significantly impact sentiment and expectations.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management targets $900 million to $1.1 billion capital return for 2026, returning $257 million in 1Q26 and $547 million year-to-date by 2Q26. The trajectory is delivering consistent capital return to shareholders aligned with the target.
“Capital return target of $900 million - $1.1 billion for 2026; returned $547 million YTD”
“Capital return target of $900 million - $1.1 billion for 2026; returned $257 million in 1Q26”
“Established a 2026 capital return to common shareholders target of $900 million to $1.1 billion”
Breaks if: Free Cash Flow falls below $1.2 billion in 2026
Maintain free capital generation at or above $1.2 billion for 2026 to support growth and shareholder distributions.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management expects free cash flow at or above $1.2 billion for 2026, following nearly $1.4 billion in 2025. First quarter 2026 free capital generation was $271 million. The trajectory is delivering consistent capital generation supporting growth and shareholder distributions.
“On Track to Deliver 2026 Financial Targets including Free Capital Generation at or above $1.2 billion”
“First quarter free capital generation of $271 million; expect to be at or above $1.2 billion for 2026”
“2025 Free Capital Generation of nearly $1.4 billion and we expect to be at or above $1.2 billion for 2026”
Breaks if: PPM America AUM falls below $93.7 billion by 2025-Q4
Continue to grow PPM America, Inc.'s assets under management through enhanced capabilities and third-party business expansion.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. PPM AUM grew from $74.4 billion at 2024-Q4 to $93.7 billion at 2025-Q4, a 26% increase, and further to $101 billion by 2026-Q2. Management's statements and financial data show delivering growth in PPM assets under management.
“PPM America, Inc. reached $101 billion in AUM as of June 30, 2026, benefiting from Jackson and third-party growth”
“PPM America, Inc. is an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary of Jackson with $95 billion in AUM as of March 31, 2026”
“PPM experienced a 26% growth in AUM from the fourth quarter of 2024 to $93.7 billion as of December 31, 2025”
Over the next 1 to 3 years, JXN's performance will depend on management execution and broader sector trends. Not investment advice.