Coffee Holding Co Inc (JVA)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-09
$3.43-3.38%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — expand gross margins in retail and wholesale segments: gross margin 15.8% vs 27.5% (Q1) and 26.9% (YoY).
Coffee Holding Co sells and roasts coffee in multiple countries. Analysts expect revenue growth of about 15% next year. The company trades cheap with a price-to-earnings ratio near 10. Margins could improve in retail and wholesale segments.
Revenue fell 5.1% year-over-year last quarter. The company faces sector headwinds and high risk. Its recent selloff shows investors doubt growth and margin expansion.
The price is about 29% below our fair value near $4.84. The market expects 15% revenue growth, which matches consensus, but the recent selloff reflects concern about execution and sector challenges.
Breaks if: company incurs significant new debt or financial distress
Breaks if: gross margins do not improve over next 4 quarters
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a cautious view on a Consumer Staples company with a stable management team. The current thesis state is mixed, as recent performance has not met expectations, but the valuation appears attractive compared to peers.
The market seems to have priced in a low expectations gap, indicating that investors are not overly optimistic about JVA's near-term performance. The valuation is considered cheap relative to its peers, suggesting some room for improvement if performance stabilizes.
Fundamentally, JVA may face challenges due to a high risk of missing earnings expectations, especially given its recent history of misses. Management's focus on improving gross margins and achieving earnings from new ventures will be critical in the near term.
The long-term thesis hinges on several factors, including the company's ability to avoid further earnings guidance cuts and the overall performance of the Consumer Staples sector. Additionally, inflation trends and the performance of sector leaders will be important indicators.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation fell by 16.1 points (from 64.7 to 48.6).
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed'.
No, our read on the company is unchanged. The recent financial performance remains steady. The sector backdrop continues to act as a drag on the company. There are no new threats or supports impacting the thesis.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Focus on expanding gross margins in the retail and wholesale business segments.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 10% next year
In the next 1 to 3 years, JVA's performance will depend on its management execution and external economic factors. Not investment advice.