Reading HWM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HWM free→Reading HWM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HWM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · HWM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $277.41. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $186.25 | 37.7 | 4.94 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $150.31 | 25.4 | 6.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $123.32 | 35.0 | 3.53 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $155.71 | 37.7 | 4.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $65.56 |
| 3.2 |
| 20.43 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $297.45 | 72.0 | 4.13 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $190.77 | 46.2 | 4.13 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $163.07 | 37.7 | 4.33 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $387.67 | 37.7 | 10.28 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $349.74 | 35.0 | 10.00 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $324.10 | 37.7 | 8.60 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $113.08 | 3.2 | 35.23 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $619.13 | 72.0 | 8.60 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $397.08 | 46.2 | 8.60 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $631.99 | 37.7 | 16.76 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $700.72 | 35.0 | 20.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $528.36 | 37.7 | 14.01 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $162.63 | 3.2 | 50.67 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $1009.32 | 72.0 | 14.01 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $647.33 | 46.2 | 14.01 | Analyst | high |