Reading HWBK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HWBK free→Reading HWBK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track HWBK free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · HWBK
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(14.1) + peer(0.2*5.0) + term(0.0) → 5.93% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 1 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
and Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically stated otherwise. Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this Form 8-K/A constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are based on…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of or otherwise subject to liabilities under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.