Reading HD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Track HD free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · HD
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $337.08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $273.97 | 18.7 | 14.69 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $281.83 | 13.6 | 24.24 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $288.90 | 20.1 | 14.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $269.87 | 18.7 | 14.47 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $361.39 |
| 2.3 |
| 160.16 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $392.61 | 27.1 | 14.47 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $328.08 | 22.7 | 14.47 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $270.41 | 18.7 | 14.50 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $333.93 | 18.7 | 17.91 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $315.21 | 20.1 | 15.68 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $328.93 | 18.7 | 17.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $439.99 | 2.3 | 195.00 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $478.54 | 27.1 | 17.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $399.88 | 22.7 | 17.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $381.03 | 18.7 | 20.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $334.07 | 20.1 | 16.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $375.32 | 18.7 | 20.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $501.66 | 2.3 | 222.33 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $546.03 | 27.1 | 20.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $456.29 | 22.7 | 20.12 | Analyst | medium |