HBT Financial, Inc. (HBT)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-09
$36.15-1.04%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
HBT Financial completed a key acquisition expanding its market. It raised dividends to $0.23 per share, showing strong capital return. Analysts expect about 17% revenue growth next year. Profit margins and expense control remain stable.
HBT missed earnings recently and faces volatile management. Expense control is uncertain with mixed progress. The acquisition may not deliver expected growth quickly.
The price is about 20% above our fair value near $27. Analysts expect 16.6% revenue growth, which aligns with our view. The market fairly prices in moderate growth and stable dividends.
Breaks if: acquisition not completed by 2026-Q2
Breaks if: dividend falls below $0.23 per share next 4 quarters
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with elements of growth. HBT is navigating through integration challenges and sector influences while showing some positive financial trends.
The market appears to have priced in a stable outlook for HBT, with a low expectations gap suggesting that investors are not overly optimistic. The valuation indicates a durable premium compared to peers, reflecting a justified but cautious stance.
Management is making progress on key priorities, such as integrating the CNB Bank acquisition and managing expenses. Recent financial performance has shown improvement, but it remains below industry peers, indicating potential for growth if execution continues effectively.
The future of HBT's performance will depend on sector trends, particularly the performance of major financial players like HDB, IBN, and PNC. Additionally, management's ability to maintain guidance and execute on integration will be crucial.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. HBT's recent financial performance fell from the robust half to the weak half of its sector. This change indicates a decline in the reasons to own the stock. The latest earnings beat does not offset this deterioration in standing.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: noninterest expense outside $41M-$43M range next 4 quarters
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 16% in FY27
Over the next 1 to 3 years, HBT's success will largely depend on external sector conditions and internal management execution. Not investment advice.