Genworth Financial, Inc. (GNW)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-09
$10.49+0.67%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-09
Warn: Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
Genworth makes about $90M cash from operations each quarter. Revenue stays near $1.78 billion per quarter. They return capital by buying back $60M to $90M shares quarterly. Enact Holdings helps boost profits and cash flow.
CEO's medical leave may hurt leadership and slow progress. Earnings fell short in late 2025. Revenue growth is weak and may stay flat or decline.
Price is about 2% above our fair value near $9. Analysts expect about 2% revenue growth. Our model sees modest earnings growth but some risks from leadership and weak revenue.
Breaks if: Cash from operating activities falls below $70M per quarter
Improve cash generation from operations to support capital allocation and business growth.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a stable company with a focus on returning capital to shareholders and expanding its CareScout platform. The current thesis state is weakened, primarily due to recent earnings misses and a decline in financial performance relative to peers.
The market appears to have priced in a neutral valuation for GNW, which is seen as cheap compared to its peers. There is a slight expectations gap, indicating that investors may not expect significant growth in the near term.
Fundamentals are likely to show mixed results, with stable earnings quality but some recent declines in operating income. The company has a low probability of missing estimates, but it has missed in recent quarters, which adds some risk.
The future performance of GNW hinges on the guidance provided in the next earnings call and the performance of sector bellwethers like BRK-B, AIG, and HIG. Positive momentum in the Financials sector could support GNW, while negative trends could pose risks.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. GNW's recent financial performance fell to the 31st percentile. This is a drop from the robust 81st percentile. The reason to own GNW has weakened. The company added $500 million to its repurchase authorization. This move aims to return capital to shareholders through buybacks.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities declined from $200M in 2025-Q4 to $91M in 2026-Q1 and further to $52M in 2026-Q2, indicating variability and a declining trend. The trajectory shows limited progress in enhancing cash flow.
“Cash from operating activities of $52M”
“Cash from operating activities of $91M”
“Cash from operating activities of $200M”
Breaks if: CEO absence extends beyond 6 months or leadership turmoil worsens
Breaks if: Quarterly revenue falls below $1.6B
Breaks if: Repurchases fall below $40M per quarter
Over the next 1 to 3 years, GNW's performance will depend on its ability to navigate sector dynamics and execute on its management priorities. Not investment advice.