Reading FWRG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Track FWRG free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · FWRG
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(8.3) + peer(0.2*6.7) + term(0.0) → 4.26% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 48 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first fiscal quarter ended March 29, 2026. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 24, 2026, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued the Original Press Release announcing its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended December 28, 2025. A copy of the press release, as corrected, is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 24, 2026, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended December 28, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 12, 2026, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain preliminary operational results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 28, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2025, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third fiscal quarter ended September 28, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2025, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second fiscal quarter ended June 29, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2025 , First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third fiscal quarter ended March 30, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 11, 2025 , First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended December 29, 2024. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.