Reading EXPD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EXPD free→Reading EXPD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track EXPD free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPD
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $164.08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $75.99 | 26.9 | 2.82 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $175.51 | 18.5 | 9.02 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $190.95 | 27.8 | 6.87 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $166.53 | 26.9 | 6.18 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $319.94 |
| 3.8 |
| 83.98 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $132.91 | 21.5 | 6.18 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $143.30 | 23.2 | 6.18 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $167.32 | 26.9 | 6.21 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $94.87 | 26.9 | 3.52 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $80.65 | 27.8 | 2.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $207.91 | 26.9 | 7.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $361.11 | 3.8 | 94.79 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $165.93 | 21.5 | 7.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $178.90 | 23.2 | 7.72 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $110.00 | 26.9 | 4.08 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $45.40 | 27.8 | 1.63 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $241.06 | 26.9 | 8.95 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $391.46 | 3.8 | 102.75 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $192.39 | 21.5 | 8.95 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $207.42 | 23.2 | 8.95 | Analyst | medium |