Reading AWK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Track AWK free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AWK
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-1.7) + peer(0.2*-2.3) + term(0.0) → -1.07% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
above and included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto also discussed the Company’s earnings per share guidance for 2025 and initiated earnings per share guidance for 2026, and provided certain other 2026 and long-term guidance with respect to the Company. The presentation to be used in connection with the Company’s third quarter 2025 earnings has been included as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated by reference herein. Prepared remarks covering the Company’s third quarter 2025 earnings results, 2026 earning…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
above and included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto also discussed the Company’s earnings per share guidance for 2024 and initiated earnings per share guidance for 2025, and provided certain other 2025 and long-term guidance with respect to the Company. The presentation to be used in connection with the Company’s third quarter 2024 earnings call has been included as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
above and included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto also discussed the Company’s earnings per share guidance for 2023 and initiated earnings per share guidance for 2024, and provided certain other 2024 and long-term guidance with respect to the Company. The presentation to be used in connection with the Company’s third quarter 2023 earnings call has been included as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 26, 2023, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2023. A copy of the press release has been included as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shal…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 26, 2023, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023. A copy of the press release has been included as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor sha…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 31, 2022, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2022. A copy of the press release has been included as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 , shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “E…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 27, 2022, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2022. A copy of the press release has been included as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall…