Reading AVA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AVA free→Reading AVA? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AVA free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AVA
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $41.21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $50.19 | 19.2 | 2.62 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $55.94 | 12.0 | 7.86 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $48.08 | 19.2 | 2.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $71.58 | 2.6 | 27.17 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $50.50 |
| 20.1 |
| 2.51 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $42.43 | 16.9 | 2.51 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $47.63 | 19.2 | 2.49 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $61.69 | 19.2 | 3.22 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $59.10 | 19.2 | 3.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $62.72 | 2.6 | 23.81 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $62.08 | 20.1 | 3.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $52.15 | 16.9 | 3.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $70.79 | 19.2 | 3.70 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $67.82 | 19.2 | 3.54 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $57.43 | 2.6 | 21.80 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $71.23 | 20.1 | 3.54 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $59.84 | 16.9 | 3.54 | Analyst | high |