Reading APD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track APD free→Reading APD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track APD free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · APD
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $280.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $332.23 | 25.3 | 13.13 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $239.71 | 25.3 | 9.47 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $128.20 | 2.4 | 54.41 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $514.98 | 54.4 | 9.47 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $240.97 |
| 25.4 |
| 9.47 |
| TTM |
| high |
| triangulated | 12M | $246.90 | 25.3 | 9.75 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $858.61 | 25.3 | 33.92 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $619.51 | 25.3 | 24.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $165.12 | 2.4 | 70.07 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $1330.92 | 54.4 | 24.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $622.76 | 25.4 | 24.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1616.97 | 25.3 | 63.88 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1166.69 | 25.3 | 46.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $195.46 | 2.4 | 82.95 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $2506.45 | 54.4 | 46.09 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $1172.81 | 25.4 | 46.09 | Analyst | medium |