Reading ALRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ALRM free→Reading ALRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ALRM free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ALRM
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $45.98. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $58.55 | 21.0 | 2.79 | Mgmt | low |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $244.90 | 19.4 | 12.64 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $46.31 | 16.5 | 2.80 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $57.40 | 21.0 | 2.73 | TTM | low |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $50.08 |
| 3.0 |
| 16.78 |
| TTM |
| low |
| PEG | 12M | $13.96 | 5.1 | 2.73 | TTM | low |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $116.37 | 42.6 | 2.73 | TTM | low |
| triangulated | 12M | $61.64 | 21.0 | 2.93 | Triangulated | low |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $68.67 | 21.0 | 3.27 | Mgmt(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $288.76 | 19.4 | 14.91 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $204.37 | 16.5 | 12.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $67.31 | 21.0 | 3.20 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $60.99 | 3.0 | 20.43 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $16.37 | 5.1 | 3.20 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $136.47 | 42.6 | 3.20 | Analyst | low |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $76.37 | 21.0 | 3.63 | Mgmt(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $322.28 | 19.4 | 16.64 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $74.86 | 21.0 | 3.56 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $69.55 | 3.0 | 23.30 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 5Y | $18.21 | 5.1 | 3.56 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $151.77 | 42.6 | 3.56 | Analyst | low |