Reading AAP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AAP free→Reading AAP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AAP free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AAP
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $60.36. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $42.29 | 15.4 | 2.75 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $56.44 | 10.7 | 5.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $49.82 | 15.4 | 3.24 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $126.59 | 0.9 | 139.77 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $77.12 |
| 23.8 |
| 3.24 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $60.24 | 18.6 | 3.24 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $51.51 | 15.4 | 3.35 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $64.04 | 15.4 | 4.16 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $18.76 | 10.7 | 2.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $75.45 | 15.4 | 4.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $139.14 | 0.9 | 153.63 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $116.79 | 23.8 | 4.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $91.23 | 18.6 | 4.91 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $84.45 | 15.4 | 5.49 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $6.98 | 10.7 | 1.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $99.50 | 15.4 | 6.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $148.20 | 0.9 | 163.63 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $154.01 | 23.8 | 6.47 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $120.30 | 18.6 | 6.47 | Analyst | medium |