NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-08-31
Reading WYNN? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Wynn Resorts is growing revenue about 9% yearly. Profit from operations improved to $282.6M in Q1 2026. The company is progressing on its Wynn Al Marjan Island project with $1.01B invested. It pays a steady quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share.
Wynn missed EPS estimates in late 2025 and guidance is cautious at $0.85 EPS for Q4 2025. The stock is expensive relative to cash flow yield and faces sector headwinds. Growth could slow if new projects or operational improvements stall.
The price is about 32% below our fair value near $141, reflecting a justified discount. Analysts expect about 5% revenue growth, which is lower than recent 9% growth, suggesting some caution is priced in.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $0.25 quarterly
Breaks if: Operating income falls below $268.6M quarterly
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on growth through strategic developments. The current thesis state is intact, supported by steady cash dividends and ongoing construction projects, despite some volatility in management execution.
The market appears to have priced in an expensive valuation relative to peers, reflecting a durable premium. Current expectations are justified, as there is low fragility in the stock despite a high premium.
Fundamentals are likely to remain neutral in the near term, with a low probability of missing earnings expectations. Recent performance has been stable, but the company has faced challenges alongside its industry peers.
The thesis hinges on management's ability to deliver on key priorities, such as the Wynn Al Marjan Island development and maintaining the dividend. Additionally, the performance of sector leaders and macroeconomic factors like inflation will play a critical role in shaping future outcomes.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. Wynn beat earnings estimates due to Macau strength. This supports growth and operational profitability. However, labor cost concerns may impact profitability.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Emphasize improving operational profitability across all markets.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 4.8% next year
Breaks if: Quarterly investment in Wynn Al Marjan Island falls below $50M
Over the next 1 to 3 years, Wynn Resorts is positioned for steady progress, but it must navigate potential risks in the broader market. Not investment advice.
