Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
$82.39-5.57%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Willdan aims for revenue between $410M and $425M in 2026. EPS is targeted at $4.90 to $5.05 for the year. The company has raised guidance recently and beat earnings in prior quarters. Profit margins and cash flow remain stable despite sector headwinds.
CEO selling stock raises leadership concerns. The recent sharp selloff and soft guidance show risks. Elevated risk and fragile quality may pressure growth and execution.
The price is about 29% below our fair value near $112. Analysts expect 16% revenue growth, which aligns with management guidance. Our view is cautious due to recent market stress and leadership concerns.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA growth falls below 26% in FY26
Achieve Adjusted EBITDA growth of 26% to 32% year over year in fiscal 2026, reflecting margin expansion and operational leverage.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
WLDN represents a stable growth investment with a focus on increasing earnings and revenue. The current thesis state is intact, supported by strong recent financial results, but the company faces risks from sector dynamics.
The market appears to have priced in a low level of execution quality, suggesting some fragility in expectations. WLDN is considered cheap compared to peers, but there is a slight expectations gap indicating that some growth is anticipated.
Management is on track to achieve its targets for Adjusted EBITDA, revenue, and EPS for 2026, following strong recent financial performance. However, there is a near-term risk of a miss, given the company's history of erratic earnings surprises.
The long-term thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like PWR, FIX, and EME. If these companies continue to perform well, it could provide a favorable backdrop for WLDN. Conversely, any negative guidance from these peers could impact WLDN's momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this improved outlook. There are no current threats to the thesis.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew from $18.1 million in 2026-Q1 to $33.0 million in 2026-Q2. Management raised the FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA target to between $103 million and $107 million, reflecting delivery and an upward trajectory consistent with the stated growth range of 26% to 32% year over year.
“We are raising our FY2026 financial targets. Adjusted EBITDA between $103 million and $107 million.”
“We now expect 2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth to increase by 26% to 32% year over year.”
Breaks if: EPS falls below $4.90 in FY26
Raise adjusted diluted earnings per share target for fiscal 2026 to between $5.00 and $5.15 per share.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 2 quarters. Diluted EPS increased from $0.55 in 2026-Q1 to $1.58 in 2026-Q2. Management raised FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to between $5.00 and $5.15 per share, showing delivery and an improving trajectory consistent with the EPS growth target.
“Adjusted Diluted EPS between $5.00 per share and $5.15 per share for FY2026.”
“Adjusted Diluted EPS between $4.90 per share and $5.05 per share for FY2026.”
Breaks if: Additional large insider stock sales by CEO or key executives
Breaks if: Annual revenue falls below $410M or exceeds $425M in FY26
Over the next 1 to 3 years, WLDN's trajectory will depend on its ability to maintain strong performance amid sector challenges. Not investment advice.