Weatherford International (WFRD)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-09
$93.06-0.68%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Net income growth or stability near $108M quarterly: EPS 0.55 vs 0.92 consensus (miss).
Weatherford is a cheap oilfield services company with a PE of 14.7 versus peers at 32.7. It beat EPS by 40.6% in Q1 2026 with EPS of $1.49. The company aims to increase dividends from $0.25 to $0.28 per share, showing capital return progress. Analysts expect modest revenue growth of about 3% next year.
Weatherford's cash from operations fell from $268M to $136M in Q1 2026, showing weak cash flow. Net income declined from $138M to $108M, missing its growth goal. The stock is down 25% from its high, reflecting sector headwinds and fragile quality.
The price is about 21% below our fair value near $104, reflecting justified concerns. Analysts expect 3.3% revenue growth, but recent cash flow and net income trends are weaker than desired.
Breaks if: Operating cash flow falls below $136M per quarter
Breaks if: Dividend per share fails to increase to $0.28 by 2026-Q1
Net income falls below $108M per quarter
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a moderate-risk opportunity in the energy sector, which is experiencing a tailwind. The current thesis state has shifted to weakened, reflecting challenges in execution and sector dynamics.
Valuation suggests that WFRD is priced cheaply compared to peers, but there is a negative expectations gap. The market appears to be accounting for some fragility in execution and a turbulent sector backdrop.
Fundamentals are likely to remain neutral in the near term, with management's focus on redomestication and acquisitions showing mixed progress. The company has a low probability of missing earnings estimates, but it operates in a high-miss-rate industry.
The thesis hinges on several factors, including inflation trends, guidance from management, and performance of sector bellwethers. Positive momentum in the energy sector could support WFRD, while any negative guidance could lead to further declines.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. The reason to own WFRD has weakened. Recent financial performance fell below its industry peers. The latest earnings report showed a significant miss. However, shareholders approved a redomestication to the United States. This change aligns with capital allocation goals.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 3% next year
In the next 1-3 years, WFRD's performance will depend on management execution and sector conditions. Not investment advice.