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WATERBRIDGE INFRASTRUCTURE LLC (WBI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-07-06
Intact
$32.16+2.78%
Close 2026-07-06 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
The bottom line
The thesis is that WBI's growth will continue as the Energy sector improves. Revenue growth is expected to benefit from sector momentum. The stock trades at a low multiple compared to peers. This suggests that the price reflects less growth than anticipated. A specific risk is the 61% chance of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
as of 2026-07-06
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- Market cap
- $1.47B
- Employees
- —
- IPO date
- 2025-08-22
- Next earnings
- 2026-08-05
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $32.16. As of 2026-07-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Fair value· primary
$23.68
Range $12.03 – $26.01
vs price: +36% above
Method agreement : medium · 2 methods
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
3-year
$13.22consensus
Range $13.22 – $13.22
vs price: +143% above
Method agreement : medium · 1 method
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
5-year
$17.48consensus
Range $17.48 – $17.48
vs price: +84% above
Method agreement : medium · 1 method
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
high confidence
We can't anchor a clean multiple for WBI right now, so treat our $33 fair value as low-confidence. Analysts target $26–$38. Not investment advice.
Multiple (multiple)
—
peer — · own history —
Premium
—
Growth the price needs
-4%
our forecast 70%
Our fair value
$33.00
range $33.00 – $33.00
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)Our number is in the analyst range
(median $33.00) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-05-28
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
12-month view
What's priced inJustified
The price sits about 5% below a flat-multiple fair value, while analysts forecast about 48% growth — below our forecast. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Low fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Historical context
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Compared to peers
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
strongOperating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated strong grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1633).
92nd pctl · Energy
Earnings quality
Not enough signal yet.
Macro sensitivity
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Management & capital allocation
neutral12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=752).
41st pctl · Energy
Earnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
Strongly bullish2 analysts, 88% Buyfor period ending 2026-09-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $0.19 → $0.20 (+2.9% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 88% of analysts rate Buy.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: energy is in mature, with may be transitioning (~0.8 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): headwind.Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Provisional
- Earnings discipline
- weak
- Post-call reaction
- neutral
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
as of 2026-07-06
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$223.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$491.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,070.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
moderateas of 2026-07-06
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- label change · signal_labelsmall change
Signal changed from 'None' to 'cautious'.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-07-06
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Intermediate · Weekly
- Either wayHigh confidenceWeeksactive 24d
Watch for changes in FOMC decisions on June 17
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates. This can affect Waterbridge's financing costs.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates or signals a more hawkish stance.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps interest rates steady or signals a dovish stance.
Sector context
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for WBI yet.
This sector is also watching
- Watch for changes in unemployment claims and energy demand.
- Watch for energy sector revenue growth to pick up above 5%
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If sector bellwethers like SLB, BKR, and HAL keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Energy sector momentum should keep lifting WBI and other Energy names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If inflation reaccelerates, say headline CPI back above 3.5% (currently 2.8%), that would benefit WBI and other Energy names (the sector typically holds up well in inflationary environments).
Downside triggers
- If WBI reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising (RAISED as of 2026-05-06), that's the worst kind of move: a credibility hit on top of the lower number. Stocks usually get punished disproportionately for this.
- If sector bellwethers like SLB, BKR, and HAL start missing or guiding lower, the Energy tailwind helping WBI and other Energy names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
- If GDP growth slows materially from the current 2.7% (say, below 2%), it hits WBI and other Energy names harder than the average stock, since the sector is growth-sensitive.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-062mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC (NYSE: WBI; NYSE TX: WBI) (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 incorporated herein by reference, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Earnings preannouncementnegative
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not enough history for a weekly changelatest as of 2026-07-06
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.