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Track VOYG free→Voyager Technologies, Inc. (VOYG)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-07-06
Watch· this week
$33.90-0.94%
Close 2026-07-06 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
The bottom line
The thesis is that Voyager Technologies' acquisition of Astrobotic Technology, Inc. will drive significant revenue growth. This claim is supported by the recent positive sentiment around the stock, including a rating upgrade and increased revenue potential linked to the Astrobotic deal. Currently, the stock trades at a valuation that suggests it reflects less growth than anticipated, with peer multiples implying a price about 40% above where it trades. A specific risk to this thesis is the potential for a credibility hit if the company cuts guidance after recently raising it, which our model puts at a 32% probability of missing outlook. This read is provisional.
as of 2026-07-06
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Market cap
- $2.03B
- Employees
- 800
- IPO date
- 2025-05-16
- Next earnings
- 2026-08-03
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $33.90. As of 2026-07-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Fair value· primary
$41.68
Range $21.91 – $45.64
vs price: -19% below
Method agreement : medium · 2 methods
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
3-year
$28.02consensus
Range $28.02 – $28.02
vs price: +21% above
Method agreement : medium · 1 method
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
5-year
$37.05consensus
Range $37.05 – $37.05
vs price: -9% below
Method agreement : medium · 1 method
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
high confidence
We can't anchor a clean multiple for VOYG right now, so treat our $58 fair value as low-confidence. Analysts target $55–$60. Not investment advice.
Multiple (multiple)
—
peer — · own history —
Premium
—
Growth the price needs
-41%
our forecast 78%
Our fair value
$57.50
range $57.50 – $57.50
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)Our number is in the analyst range
(median $57.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-06-11
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
12-month view
What's priced inJustified
The price sits about 41% below a flat-multiple fair value, while analysts forecast about 78% growth — below our forecast. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Low fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Historical context
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Compared to peers
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
Not enough signal yet.
Earnings quality
Not enough signal yet.
Macro sensitivity
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
- the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Management & capital allocation
neutral8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=3267).
43rd pctl · Industrials
Earnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
Neutral6 analysts, 82% Buyfor period ending 2026-09-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $-0.88 → $-0.88 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 5 cut, 6 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 82% of analysts rate Buy.
Price target activity
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 33.2% above current price.
Material events
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: industrials is in maturing (~3.2 years in phase).
Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Provisional
- Earnings discipline
- weak
- Post-call reaction
- weak
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
as of 2026-07-06
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$400.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$856.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,119.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
highas of 2026-07-06
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- label change · signal_labelsmall change
Signal changed from 'None' to 'mixed'.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The acquisition of Astrobotic Technology aligns with VOYG's goals. This deal is expected to increase revenue. There are no current threats to the thesis.
as of 2026-07-06
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Intermediate · Weekly
- Either wayMedium confidenceQuartersactive 24d
Watch for revenue growth trends in Q2
Why it matters: Increased revenue is crucial for Voyager's future. Weak growth could signal deeper issues.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms one read:Revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in Q2 2026.
Confirms the other:Revenue growth is below 0% year over year in Q2 2026.
Management priorities
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
- 2026-06-071mo agoYahoo! Finance
Advances: Acquire Astrobotic Technology, Inc.
Astrobotic deal aligns with acquisition objective.
Strongly reinforcesUnconfirmed report
This sector is also watching
- Watch for faster revenue growth in Industrials.
- Watch for impacts from upcoming FOMC meetings
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Industrials sector momentum should keep lifting VOYG and other Industrials names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If the Fed starts cutting rates from the current 3.63%, that would be a tailwind for VOYG and other Industrials names, since rate-sensitive parts of the market tend to rally when the Fed eases.
Downside triggers
- If VOYG reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising (RAISED as of 2026-05-04), that's the worst kind of move: a credibility hit on top of the lower number. Stocks usually get punished disproportionately for this.
- If sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX start missing or guiding lower, the Industrials tailwind helping VOYG and other Industrials names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
- If GDP growth slows materially from the current 2.7% (say, below 2%), it hits VOYG and other Industrials names harder than the average stock, since the sector is growth-sensitive.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-06-1819d agoItem 3.03
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. On June 18, 2026, Voyager Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) filed (i) a certificate of conversion with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware, (ii) a certificate of conversion with the Secretary of State of the State of Texas, with a certificate of formation (the “Texas Charter”), in each case, pursuant to a plan of conversion previously approved by the board of directors and by the stockholders of the Company (the “Plan of Conver…
Capital allocationneutral
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not enough history for a weekly changelatest as of 2026-07-06
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.